The study reflects limited erosion among the People’s Party compared with the 2023 vote recall, when 23.8% said they had supported the party, but its lead over its main rival is widening. The PSOE suffers a sharper decline, recording 10.6% of direct support in this poll, down from the 12.8% reported in the recall of the last election. This scenario would consolidate the conservatives’ lead in the city, amid a weakened Socialist opposition.
Meanwhile, Vox emerges as the party making the biggest gains in the poll. The party rises from 8.1% in vote recall to 10.0% in direct voting intention, buoyed strongly by younger voters: among those aged 18 to 29, Vox climbs to 14.3%, making it the second-most supported option among Zaragoza’s youth, surpassed only by the People’s Party (19.5%).
FRAGMENTATION ON THE LEFT AND WIDESPREAD INDECISION
To the left of the PSOE, Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) is consolidating its position as the most stable force in its political space, securing 4.4% of direct support, virtually the same as in 2023 (4.6%). By contrast, division continues to hurt the other options: Zaragoza en Común (ZeC) receives 2.1%, while Izquierda Unida (0.5%) and Podemos (0.3%) remain marginal in the poll.
The survey also highlights the arrival of new players on the local political map, such as Se Acabó la Fiesta (SALF), which earns 1.1% in direct voting intention, overtaking parties whose presence is clearly fading in the Aragonese capital, such as the Aragonese Party (PAR) (0.2%) and Ciudadanos (0.1%).
However, the key finding of the municipal poll is the high percentage of citizens who have not yet decided how to vote. Some 33.0% of respondents say they do not know or prefer not to say whom they would vote for, while a further 9.5% openly state that they intend to abstain.
